Bitcoin Dominance Hits Almost 65%, What Analysts Say?
By: cryptosheadlines|2025/05/05 17:45:01
0
Share
Airdrop Is Live CaryptosHeadlines Media Has Launched Its Native Token CHT. Airdrop Is Live For Everyone, Claim Instant 5000 CHT Tokens Worth Of $50 USDT. Join the Airdrop at the official website, CryptosHeadlinesToken.com Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) reached 64.98% in the first week of May, marking a new high for 2025 and the highest level since 2021. Bitcoin Dominance measures BTC’s market cap as a percentage of the total crypto market cap. Some experienced analysts expect this to trigger a recovery in altcoins, but others remain skeptical.Analysts Divided as Bitcoin Dominance Hits Almost 65%Analysts have long monitored BTC.D as a key indicator for predicting altcoin season. The 65% level also represents a significant historical resistance, a threshold many analysts have been watching closely.Analyst Darky believes that 65% could be the top for BTC.D and expects a sharp drop from this point. If that happens, it would suggest that altcoins are about to rally. An altcoin season typically begins when capital rotates from Bitcoin into altcoins, eventually driving BTC.D down to the support zone around 39%.Bitcoin Dominance Important Resistance and Support. Source: Darky“The BTC dominance is about to drop so hard. Fill your bags with altcoins,” Darky predicted.Beyond the technical signal that 65% is a strong resistance, some analysts also point to a rising wedge pattern forming in BTC.D. This classical chart pattern usually signals a bearish reversal, supporting the scenario of a strong pullback in Bitcoin dominance.Other analysts also support the idea of an upcoming altcoin season but take a more cautious stance. Milk Road, for example, argues that altcoins are still underperforming and suggests BTC.D may need to rise above 70% before an actual rotation into altcoins begins.Altcoin Speculation Index. Source: Milk Road“Only 17% of altcoins have outperformed BTC over the last 90 days. That’s not rotation. That’s BTC dominance holding the wheel. Until this number pushes past 70%, altseason isn’t on the table. Not yet,” Milk Road said.BTC.D rose from 64.4% to 65% in the first week of May, while the total market cap dropped from $3 trillion to $2.87 trillion. This suggests capital is exiting the market more from altcoins than from Bitcoin, which does not yet support the case for a true altcoin season.Predicting Altcoin Season Requires More Than Just Watching Bitcoin DominanceOver the past three years, BTC.D has steadily climbed from 39% to 65%. During this time, most predictions of an altcoin season have turned out to be inaccurate and disappointing. As a result, many investors have suffered deeper losses in their altcoin portfolios.This prolonged rise in BTC.D has sparked growing skepticism. And some of these doubts come with valid arguments. Thomas Fahrer, co-founder of Apollo, believes the involvement of institutional investors has fundamentally changed the cycle.“BTC Dominance just made a new cycle ATH. This cycle is different because when BlackRock & Saylor buy Bitcoin they just hold it. They don’t swap them for altcoins,” Thomas Fahrer said.Nic, co-founder of Coinbase, offered deeper insights. He argued that predicting altcoin season involves more than just tracking BTC.D. Other macro and on-chain factors must align.He pointed out that historically, altcoin seasons tend to begin around 320 days after a Bitcoin bottom, which would place them around now (May 2025). However, conditions such as quantitative easing, retail investor interest in altcoins, and blockchain developer activity have not yet been met.“What needs to happen before the real altseason begins: BTC dominance falls below 54%. The Fed officially ends QT and signals rate cuts. Bitcoin holds a new ATH while capital flows into alts — not away from them. Until then? I’m thinking every pump is just noise,” Nic predicted.At the time of writing, the total market cap of altcoins excluding stablecoins (TOTAL3) is $807 billion, down 28% from the beginning of the year.DisclaimerIn adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.Source link
You may also like

From Mining Enterprise to Infrastructure Builder, Bitdeer Unpacks the Survival Logic behind BTC
Profit margins nearing the red line, miners are starting to use Bitcoin as fuel.

How Can Agentic Commerce Empower AI to Start Making Money?
The first wave of moneymaking AIs has arrived, which projects are worth paying attention to

February Correction: Is the Crypto Market Bottoming Out?
Based on historical experience, the most intense phase of this downturn may be about to end.

AI Payments Through the Lens of Fintech Giants: Five Levels, Stablecoin Infrastructure, Next-Gen Globalized Commerce
Stripe took fifteen years to turn seven lines of code into a business empire that powers 1.6% of the global GDP. Its next move is to define the next generation of global business rules.

Zuckerberg Retweets Stablecoin, Can Meta Win This "Comeback Game"?
Compared to the Libra era of 2019 when it attempted to disrupt the global financial system, the 2026 Meta is demonstrating a more stable and compliance-oriented approach.

Polymarket New Rule Release: How to Build a New Trading Bot
In 2026, a truly winning trading Bot is not the fastest taker, but the most excellent liquidity provider

Bitwise: The Institutional Wave is Here, So Why is the Market Still Sleeping?
There is a significant gap between the perceived cryptocurrency market and the actual cryptocurrency market.

WEEX LALIGA Partnership 2026: Where Football Excellence Meets Crypto Innovation
WEEX becomes official crypto exchange partner of LALIGA in Hong Kong and Taiwan. Discover how this partnership brings together football excellence and trading discipline.

AI Apocalypse, a massive short squeeze
AI is not the doomsday prophecy, but the dawn of a new era of abundance stemming from the collapse of cognitive cost.

The "Second Truth" of the Luna Crash: Jane Street Exits Ahead of Plunge
In the cryptocurrency industry that touts "decentralization," true asymmetry may have never disappeared.

Jane Street Market Manipulation, Stripe Considering Acquiring PayPal, What's the Overseas Crypto Community Talking About Today?
What Was Trending for Expats in the Last 24 Hours?
WEEX × LALIGA 2026: Trade Crypto, Take Your Shot & Win Official LALIGA Prizes
Unlock shoot attempts through futures trading, spot trading, or referrals. Turn match predictions into structured rewards with BTC, USDT, position airdrops, and LALIGA merchandise on WEEX.

a16z: Why Do AI Agents Need a Stablecoin for B2B Payments?
Smart contracts will be more like corporate entities, forming long-term relationships with their vendors and partners.

February 24th Market Key Intelligence, How Much Did You Miss?
1. On-chain Funds: $172.4M inflow to Ethereum this week; $233.9M outflow from Arbitrum
2. Highest Price Variation: $ESP, $MYX
3. Top News: AC's "Never Rekt" new project Flying Tulip has experienced a rug pull, currently priced at $0.0989

Web4.0, perhaps the most needed narrative for cryptocurrency
What is Justin Sun's All-in Web4.0 Vision?

Some Key News You Might Have Missed Over the Chinese New Year Holiday
On the day of commencement, should we go long or short?

Key Market Information Discrepancy on February 24th - A Must-Read! | Alpha Morning Report
1. Top News: Tariff Uncertainty Returns as Bitcoin Options Market Bets on Downside Risk
2. Token Unlock: $SOSO, $NIL, $MON

$1,500,000 Salary Job: How to Achieve with $500 AI?
The Essence of Agentification: Use algorithms to replicate your judgment framework, replacing labor costs with API costs.
From Mining Enterprise to Infrastructure Builder, Bitdeer Unpacks the Survival Logic behind BTC
Profit margins nearing the red line, miners are starting to use Bitcoin as fuel.
How Can Agentic Commerce Empower AI to Start Making Money?
The first wave of moneymaking AIs has arrived, which projects are worth paying attention to
February Correction: Is the Crypto Market Bottoming Out?
Based on historical experience, the most intense phase of this downturn may be about to end.
AI Payments Through the Lens of Fintech Giants: Five Levels, Stablecoin Infrastructure, Next-Gen Globalized Commerce
Stripe took fifteen years to turn seven lines of code into a business empire that powers 1.6% of the global GDP. Its next move is to define the next generation of global business rules.
Zuckerberg Retweets Stablecoin, Can Meta Win This "Comeback Game"?
Compared to the Libra era of 2019 when it attempted to disrupt the global financial system, the 2026 Meta is demonstrating a more stable and compliance-oriented approach.
Polymarket New Rule Release: How to Build a New Trading Bot
In 2026, a truly winning trading Bot is not the fastest taker, but the most excellent liquidity provider