Bitcoin Sets a New 4-Month High as Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged

By: fx daily report|2025/05/09 20:30:09
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On Friday, Friday, the bitcoin price extended gains to a new 4-month high of about $104,352 before pulling back to 102,954. The BTC/USD trades within an ascending channel formation in the 60-minute chart. The price of the pioneer cryptocurrency has now rallied to trade several levels above the 100-hour moving average line. Friday’s afternoon pullback helped the bitcoin price to recover from the overbought levels of the 14-hour RSI. Bitcoin Price Fundamentals Overview From a fundamental perspective, the Bitcoin price trades during a relatively busy period in the U.S. market. On Thursday, the initial jobless claims for the week ending May 2, came in lower than expected with 228k versus a forecast of 230k, down from the preceding week’s claim count of 241k. The preliminary nonfarm productivity for Q1 missed the expected change of -0.4% with a change of -0.8%, while the preliminary unit labour costs for the quarter beat the estimate of 5.3% with a change of 5.7%. Earlier in the week, the U.S. Federal Reserve chose to keep the base interest rate unchanged at 4.5% in line with expectations. On the other hand, the ISM Services PMI for April improved slightly to 51.6, up from 50.8, beating the forecast of 50.6. The S&P Global Composite PMI for the period fell short of 51.2 with a reading of 50.6, down from 51.2. The S&P Global Services PMI for the period also missed 51.4 with 50.8, down from 51.4, while wholesale inventories for March outperformed the expected change of 0.5% with a change of 0.3%. Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis (the 60-min Chart) Technically, the Bitcoin price trades within an ascending channel formation in the 60-minute chart. However, the 14-hour RSI has recently pulled back to recover from overbought conditions. Therefore, the bears will look to extend the current pullback towards $100,853 or lower to $98,671. On the other hand, the bulls will look to ride the current rally towards $105,063 or higher to $107,207. Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis (the Daily Chart) In the daily chart, the BTC/USD trades within an ascending channel formation. The 14-day RSI also supports a long-term bullish bias after entering overbought conditions. Therefore, the bulls will look to ride the current rally towards $109,489 or higher to $117,564. On the other hand, the bears will look to pounce on pullbacks at about $94,237 or lower at $86,162.

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