Sam Bankman-Fried Pardon Odds Climb to 18% on Polymarket Amid Trump’s Crypto Moves – October 24, 2025

Imagine the twists and turns in the crypto world feeling like a high-stakes thriller, where fallen giants might just get a second chance. That’s the vibe right now as bets on whether former FTX chief Sam Bankman-Fried could snag a pardon from U.S. President Donald Trump are heating up on Polymarket. Following the recent pardon of Binance’s Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the odds for Bankman-Fried have surged, reflecting a wave of speculation that’s got everyone talking.

Polymarket Bettors Ramp Up Wagers on Bankman-Fried Pardon

Picture this: just after CZ walked free, the betting action on Polymarket exploded. As of today, October 24, 2025, the odds for Sam Bankman-Fried receiving a pardon in 2025 have jumped to 18%, up significantly from earlier figures around 12%. This spike came swiftly, with over $8.2 million in total bets poured into the “Who will Trump pardon in 2025?” market, including more than $450,000 specifically on Bankman-Fried. It’s like watching a stock ticker during a bull run – unpredictable and exhilarating.

Another related market tracking if Bankman-Fried will be “Released from custody in 2025” has seen its odds fluctuate wildly, peaking at 22% before settling at around 19% this morning. With his 25-year sentence still looming and an ongoing appeal that’s moving at a snail’s pace, a presidential pardon seems like his golden ticket out before the new year kicks in. Bettors are clearly betting on Trump’s crypto-friendly stance, especially after CZ’s case set a precedent.

Why CZ’s Pardon Stirs Debate Over Bankman-Fried’s Fate

It’s hard not to draw parallels between these two crypto heavyweights, but let’s be real – their stories are as different as night and day. CZ faced charges for skirting U.S. anti-money laundering rules, which let some shady funds slip through his platform. He got a relatively light four-month sentence and a pardon that Trump himself described as rectifying a “persecution” by the previous administration. Bankman-Fried, on the other hand, was nailed for fraud and conspiracy in mishandling billions in customer funds, landing him that hefty 25-year term back in March 2024.

Industry voices are chiming in, highlighting these contrasts to build a stronger case. Crypto legal expert Jake Chervinsky expressed shock at the idea of a Bankman-Fried pardon, noting his history as a major Democratic donor before FTX’s dramatic collapse in November 2022. “His reputation in political circles is tarnished – it’s like a bad joke that no one finds funny,” Chervinsky tweeted recently, echoing sentiments from many in the space. Meanwhile, attorney Sasha Hodder pointed out that CZ’s issues were more about regulatory slip-ups, not outright theft, making his situation “compliance hiccups rather than moral crimes.”

These comparisons underscore how CZ’s pardon has fueled discussions, with Trump even stating he was informed CZ’s actions “weren’t even a crime.” It’s a narrative that’s gaining traction, especially since CZ has ties to Trump’s family crypto ventures, adding layers to the intrigue.

Latest Buzz: Twitter Chatter and Google Trends on Bankman-Fried Pardon

Fast-forward to today, and the conversation is buzzing louder than ever. On Twitter, hashtags like #SBFPardon and #CryptoPardons are trending, with users debating everything from political favoritism to crypto’s role in U.S. policy. A viral post from a prominent crypto influencer yesterday amassed over 50,000 likes, arguing that pardoning Bankman-Fried could signal a broader reset for the industry, much like how CZ’s release boosted market confidence. Google searches for “Sam Bankman-Fried pardon odds” have spiked 35% in the last week, according to trends data, with people also querying “How does Polymarket work?” and “Trump’s crypto pardons list.”

Recent updates include a fresh White House statement on October 23, 2025, where Trump hinted at more “fairness” for innovators wrongly targeted, without naming names. This has only amplified the speculation, with Polymarket volumes hitting new highs as bettors weigh in.

Brand Alignment in Crypto: Why Platforms Like WEEX Stand Out

In this ever-shifting crypto landscape, aligning with reliable platforms becomes crucial for traders navigating these uncertainties. Take WEEX, for instance – it’s a exchange that’s built a reputation for robust security and user-centric features, much like a trusted ally in volatile times. With seamless trading tools and a commitment to transparency, WEEX empowers users to engage confidently, whether betting on markets or holding assets. Its focus on compliance and innovation mirrors the positive shifts we’re seeing in the industry, making it a go-to for those seeking stability amid the drama of figures like Bankman-Fried.

Wrapping Up the Pardon Speculation

As we watch these odds evolve, it’s clear the crypto world loves a good comeback story. Bankman-Fried’s potential pardon isn’t just about one man; it’s a litmus test for how the new administration views the sector’s past missteps. With evidence from Polymarket’s real-time data and ongoing debates, the excitement is palpable – will Trump extend that olive branch, or will the contrasts prove too stark?

FAQ

What are the current Polymarket odds for Sam Bankman-Fried’s pardon?
As of October 24, 2025, the odds stand at 18% for a pardon in 2025, based on active betting markets reflecting trader sentiment.

How does CZ’s pardon differ from Bankman-Fried’s situation?
CZ’s case involved regulatory violations with a short sentence, while Bankman-Fried was convicted of large-scale fraud, leading to a 25-year term – a key contrast in severity and political context.

Why is there so much speculation about Trump pardoning crypto figures?
Trump’s pro-crypto stance, evidenced by CZ’s pardon and recent statements, has sparked bets and discussions, with many seeing it as a move to support industry innovation over past persecutions.