The Future of Crypto: From Speculation to Value

By: crypto insight|2025/11/28 18:30:09
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Key Takeaways

  • The speculative-driven cryptocurrency market is shifting towards value-based investments, with a focus on intrinsic asset values.
  • A series of market events and the evolution of technology stocks have affected investor sentiment towards less fundamentally strong tokens (“altcoins”).
  • Retail investors are withdrawing from the crypto market due to the oversaturation and speculative nature of many cryptocurrencies.
  • The new investment focus should be on tokens with real claims on protocol income and sustainable business models for future growth and profit.
  • Building real-world usage and potential for consistent revenue stream are essential for the future profitability of crypto projects.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-11-28 10:04:10

The Current Landscape of Crypto Speculation

The cryptocurrency market, characterized by high volatility and speculative trading, is undergoing an unprecedented transition. For years, digital tokens have thrived on what can best be described as “speculative demand far beyond fundamentals.” Investors, ranging from seasoned traders to those captivated by stories of “Bitcoin millionaires,” have flooded into the sector looking for the next big win. This phenomenon has particularly inflated the demand for altcoins, generally defined as cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, which many times lack any meaningful underlying value or utility.

In the realm of crypto trading, these tokens have often been overvalued due to limited exposure to fundamentally sound assets, predominantly Bitcoin and altcoins. Retail investors, drawn by the allure of outsized returns witnessed in historical precedents, exacerbated the demand, driving valuations to unsustainable levels. Yet, as we are seeing, the days of speculative frenzy may be waning as markets grow more mature and discerning.

The Reality Check: Market Correction and Investor Retreat

The speculative bubble has met with a harsh reality. Events over the past two years in the altcoin markets have been catastrophic and telling. Platforms designed for promoting new tokens, such as “Pump fun,” have commoditized token issuance to the extent that it diluted attention and investment across millions of assets. Moreover, the market witnessed the release of over 50,000 tokens in a single day on these platforms, diminishing the concentration of investment capital into fewer, stronger projects.

Simultaneously, certain digital assets have begun demonstrating genuine fundamental value, overshadowing those lacking substance. This development has led many investors to become wary of betting on tokens supported only by a white paper’s promises, especially when tangible projects backed by real income started gaining traction.

The solution to speculative issues? The answer lies in intrinsic value. Moving forward, only those tokens that offer legitimate claims to protocol income will hold value, necessitating a rethinking of investment strategies.

The Shift Towards Intrinsic Value and Token Sustainability

Investors are increasingly questioning the validity of putting capital into highly speculative tokens. The narrative has changed from valuing existence and community hype to focussing on the equity- or utility-like features of tokens. A prevalent yet misguided belief is that tokens inherently possess value due to their existence or popularity. In truth, their worth is pegged solely to the business equity they represent or their economic utility—otherwise, they equate to zero-value entities.

For tokens to be considered viable investments in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, they must meet two critical conditions: assert rights over protocol incomes and ensure these incomes are substantial enough to justify the value proposition. These rights provide a direct link between a token and the results of the protocols’ functioning, aligning stakeholders’ interests with tangible outcomes.

As financial markets evolve, so too must the token economy. For investors, this means seeking projects with demonstrated profitability, rather than speculative promise. They must look beyond traditional returns, scrutinizing underlying business models and revenue streams.

Addressing Investor Ennui and Renewing Market Interest

Retail investors have recently distanced themselves from the crypto market, a phenomenon triggered by exaggerated promises and an oversupply of tokens. This retreat underscores a broader disenchantment fueled by unmet expectations and financial losses—a reality for many bettors on the crypto future.

Such dissatisfaction stems largely from overinflated commitments that projects cannot fulfill, rampant issuance of memecoins, and predatory tokenomics that have made many coins unappealing to seasoned investors. This alienation has redirected those looking for a “thrill” to alternative avenues such as sports betting and financial derivatives, rather than losing money to unmoving tokens.

Despite this retreat, the overarching crypto narrative is poised for a resurgence. The key to revitalizing interest lies in demonstrating potential for profit and stability through clarified value propositions. Future investors will likely gravitate towards platforms that showcase prudent financial planning and real value capture.

Protocol Revenue: The Key to Token Valuation

In a market shorn of speculative drivers, a protocol’s revenue—past, present, or future—emerges as the cornerstone of token valuation. The past decade has taught us that without a legitimate claim on protocol revenue, tokens are little more than glorified betting chips.

Achieving value alignment demands often fall under the categories of dividends, buybacks, fee burns, and treasury controls. A protocol doesn’t need to implement these mechanisms today, but it must demonstrate the potential for their activation, ideally through governance votes or clear thresholds. In today’s transparency-demanding climate, vague promises won’t suffice. Instead, protocols must clearly define their paths to profitability, enhancing investor confidence and interest.

Platforms like DefiLlama have simplified access to these fundamental metrics, thus enabling investors to make informed decisions. The data reveals clear trends: stablecoin issuers and derivatives platforms lead revenue generation, while token issuance platforms, trading applications, and decentralized exchanges contribute significantly to the ecosystem.

Evolving Investment Strategies: From Speculation to Stability

The landscape for crypto investments is maturing. Tokens that wish to perform well in the future market need to connect the dots between their value propositions and real-world revenue.

One notable example is Curve Finance, which has consistently demonstrated dependable income growth over the past three years, even with decreasing fully diluted valuation. This aspect positions Curve as a sound investment prospect, given its robust actual yield due to a prolonged token release cycle and compelling holder rewards.

Similarly, Jupiter stands as a major benefactor of the burgeoning Solana ecosystem. Its dominance as a decentralized exchange and perpetual contract platform bolsters its value, with noteworthy annual holder incomes reflecting true utility.

Providing real, substantive value will differentiate successful DeFi projects in years to come. Investors seeking sound frameworks should look for tokens granting rights over protocol income and ones with a clear route to revenue growth.

Positive Signals for the Future

Encouragingly, many DeFi projects realize the need to link their tokens to actual revenues. The growing challenge of unrestricted token sales is forcing project teams to identify and develop meaningful, sustainable revenue streams. Successful adaptation will guide these projects into a realm of hopeful futures and solid investor backing.

As the landscape continues to evolve, prospects are improving for those circumspect enough to adapt to these foundational shifts. A clear path to profitability, harnessing governance and transparency, is the roadmap for projects poised to thrive as the crypto industry enters its next phase.


FAQs

Will retail investors return to the cryptocurrency market?

Yes, retail investors are expected to return, but only if they perceive tangible profit opportunities and clearer paths to achieving returns with reduced risks.

What changes are driving the shift away from speculation in crypto?

The market transition is driven by the saturation of speculative tokens and a growing focus on tokens with intrinsic value linked to protocol income and sustainability.

How is intrinsic value different from speculative value in cryptocurrencies?

Intrinsic value arises from genuine business equity or utility of a cryptocurrency, as opposed to speculative value, which relies on investor sentiment and market hype without underlying substance.

What are the critical factors for crypto projects to succeed in the new market?

Successful crypto projects will need a robust model entailing claims on real revenues, pathways to sustained growth, and clear alignment of stakeholders’ interests with economic performance.

Why have some tokens maintained or increased in value despite the market correction?

Tokens maintaining or increasing in value generally possess clear revenue models or real-world utility, making them attractive to investors even in correcting markets.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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